Ai-powered Pipeline Prioritization

bfARENAS™

Overcoming Weighted Scoring Models
Even when the analytical science is sound, drug development decisions can fail at the portfolio level when the frameworks used to make decisions are not defensible. bfPREP™ replaces weighted scoring with structured pairwise comparison across independent decision arenas based on your priorities and criteria for success.

Just 5%

of integrated AI pilots are extracting millions in value, while the vast majority remain stuck with no measurable P&L impact.¹

The Input

What You Provide

Portfolio decisions made using bulk ranking AI tools produce outputs that are costly to generate and virtually impossible to defend when an assumption is questioned.

bfARENAS™ partitions every portfolio decision into the minimum set of structured pairwise comparisons needed to produce a stable, auditable ranking that relies on the following:

Candidate Options & Criteria

Your drug targets, biomarkers, indications, candidate programs, CRO vendor options, or portfolio assets.

Strategic Priorities

Work with our team to order success criteria across independent decision arenas (e.g., scientific evidence, commercial opportunity, reputational impact).

THE WORK

What We Do

bfARENAS™ replaces fragile, arbitrary numerical weights with structured pairwise comparisons:

01

Define

Establish success criteria and decision priorities
02

Compare

Evaluate candidates through structured head-to-head assessments in arenas
03

Challenge

Test assumptions using advocate-versus-critic reasoning

04

Rank

Generate stable rankings based on ordered priorities rather than arbitrary weights

05

Document

Log evidence, rationale, and decision pathways for complete transparency

Rankings are based on ordered priorities, with stability scores showing how robust each rank is and a complete audit trail from every recommendation back through every pairwise comparison to the underlying evidence:

Advocate/Critic Reasoning

An AI agent evaluates candidates head-to-head within independent arenas, assembling and challenging evidence.

Neutral Adjudication

Resolves arguments systematically based on human-defined priority orderings.

Experts In The Loop

Humans are in Control

Scientists and executives define the decision criteria, set the priority ordering among arenas and review the ranked output before any decision is made. bfARENAS™ does not make portfolio decisions. It structures them for your review.

“The decision belongs to the team. The audit trail belongs to everyone.”

Criteria controlled

Teams define evaluation criteria and priorities

Evidence reviewed

Scientific and business assumptions remain visible

Transparent arguments

Every recommendation can be examined and challenge

Final approval retained

Scientists remain responsible for every decision

The Output

What You Receive

bfARENAS™ replaces weighted scoring with structured pairwise comparison across independent decision arenas that are selected based on identified priorities and criteria for success. Features of the platform:

Stable Candidate Rankings

De-risked asset lists accompanied by rank stability scores

Easy Review

Visibility into ranking assumptions and trade-offs within the arenas

Full Audit Trail

Fully readable arguments detailing every head-to-head comparison back to the underlying evidence

Each comparison, or arena, represents one strategic dimension of the decision. Candidates are evaluated head to head using advocate/critic reasoning: evidence is assembled, arguments are made, challenged, and resolved by an AI agent that serves as a neutral judge. This information can be leveraged when prioritizing drug targets, portfolios, programs, vendor selection, indication expansion, resource allocation, and investment planning.

The Outcome

What it Supports

Defensible portfolio choices that hold firm under board and regulatory scrutiny without changing on every re-run or re-consideration. The platform deliberately rejects numerical weights because the moment weights are assigned, they cannot be justified, creating a decision process that looks rigorous but actually isn’t.

Proof Point: Multi-Level Strategic Decision Support

The following examples were demonstrated at our recent XTalks webinar, illustrating how bfARENAS™ structures decisions across three levels of strategic complexity:

Target Prioritization

Ranking drug targets across scientific evidence arenas to pinpoint key evidentiary gaps.

CRO Selection

Evaluating vendor candidates for a IPF Phase Ib/IIa trial, flagging a candidate mismatch hidden from standard scorecards.

Portfolio Prioritization

Structuring a 5 program pipeline under capital constraints, surfacing strategic reputational costs invisible to spreadsheet models.

Feasibility Assessment

Run a complex portfolio or prioritization decision through bfARENAS™ to stress-test your existing assumptions. As organizations scale their use of AI across their workflows, many are discovering the challenges with reproducing their assessment and importantly, defending their decisions to a steering committee, scientific review board, a regulatory agency, or a board of directors that could withstand an audit.

Reference 1: Challapally, A., Pease, A., Raskar, R., & Chari, P. (2025). The GenAI Divide: State of AI in Business 2025, MIT Project NANDA